And, of course, Ethernet versus Token Ring, FDDI, FDDI II, FFOL, HIPPI,
IsoEnet, ATM, and a few others that should never have gotten off the
whiteboard.
(For more on all this, see if you can lay your hands on a copy of that
ripping historical yarn, The McGraw-Hill High-Speed LAN Handbook, by Stephen
Saunders, McGraw-Hill, 1996, available at all good garage sales and
recycling facilities near you.)
Whats interesting (I hope) about all these fights is the characteristics they share:
One:
Two:
Vendors line up on either side of the battlefield,
William-Wallace-versus-Evil-English fashion, and
Three:
If theres a standards process involved, the vendors promptly hijack it,
putting their short-term fiscal interests over those of their users.
Meanwhile
Four:
Market research firms forecast that the market for this new technology will
grow to twenty gazillion-trillion-jillion dollars by next Tuesday, and
Five:
End users (poor buggers) pay way too much to wander around trade shows
and conferences in a confused state, not being invited to the standards
meetings, trying to work out which is the best option, and finding out that, yes, actually, sometimes people do get fired for buying
[insert name of current or historical market-leading vendor here: IBM/Cisco/Novell/Brocade, etc.).
So whats missing from this five-step program? Ironically, its the one
thing that can genuinely provide a clue as to which way the tech tides are
set to flow: an examination of the business case now, and in the future,
for the various technology options.
Next: Case, business, lack of