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Seagate Sails Into Rough Seas: Page 2 of 2

In a research note released today, Goldman Sachs & Co. analyst Laura Conigliaro said her previous estimate of $0.28 per share for the current quarter may be too high. “Industry comments are for the most part negative, consistent with our recent checks,” Conigliaro wrote. “Seagate also made numerous comments about pricing, inventory levels, and the competitive environment that suggest a difficult environment at least through mid year.”

In its filing, Seagate said it could get hurt by the merger of the disk drive businesses of IBM Corp. (NYSE: IBM) and Hitachi Ltd. (NYSE: HIT; Paris: PHA) into Hitachi GST (see IBM, Hitachi Finish Merging Disk Units). “Because IBM is one of our most significant customers and Hitachi is one of our most significant competitors, there is a significant risk that IBM will decrease the number of rigid disk drives purchased from us,” the filing states.

Seagate admitted to “certain execution issues” related to product quality with its personal storage disk drives. There was no mention of problems with its enterprise drive that Byte and Switch reported in December (see Seagate Drives Dinged).

— Dave Raffo, Senior Editor, Byte and Switch